currency and cryptocurrency Top Knowledge

The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.Securities Times: Deepen the reform of the capital market and lay a solid foundation for the coordinated development of investment and financing. The direct statement of the central economic work conference on the capital market includes two aspects: one is to "stabilize the stock market" and the other is to "deepen the comprehensive reform of investment and financing in the capital market, open up the blocking points of medium and long-term funds entering the market, and enhance the inclusiveness and adaptability of the capital market system". The reporter learned that the CSRC is currently studying and formulating an implementation plan to further comprehensively deepen the reform of the capital market, deepen the comprehensive reform of investment and financing in the capital market, and improve the institutional mechanisms to promote the high-quality development of listed companies and enhance the inherent stability of the market. It is reported that the CSRC will further improve the equity incentive system, focus on cultivating and expanding patient capital, comprehensively use various tools such as stocks, bonds and futures, improve the support policies for venture capital and private equity investment, guide better investment in early, small, long-term and hard technologies, help high-quality innovative enterprises to grow and develop, and provide support for China's economic transformation and upgrading and long-term development.JPMorgan Chase elected Michele Buck as a member of the board of directors.

A number of data show that: the distribution of rights and interests of public offerings, near the end of the year, Public Offering of Fund is increasing the distribution of rights and interests. The data shows that the new funds established in the past three months (from September 12 to December 12) have raised a total of 289.803 billion yuan, and the stock funds have raised more than half. Among the above-mentioned sub-IPO funds, 145 funds have earned more than 1% since their establishment, accounting for more than half, and most of them are opening positions quickly. As of December 11th, the revenue of 27 products exceeded 5% (the different shares were calculated separately), and the revenue of the best-performing products reached 51%. More new funds are "queuing for admission". According to the data, before the end of the year, more than 20 funds will be launched for sale, and 80% of them are equity funds. Huaxia, Fuguo, Boss and Jing Shun Great Wall all have products waiting to be issued. At the same time, the fund's self-purchase efforts have been increasing. As of December 12, this year, the net subscription amount of equity funds purchased by fund companies has reached 2.894 billion yuan, an increase of 28% over last year. (SSE)Economic Daily: Strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment and adjusting macro policies are related to the overall situation of national economic operation. The the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee meeting held on December 9th emphasized that a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy should be implemented, the policy toolbox should be enriched and improved, the unconventional countercyclical adjustment should be strengthened, and the policy "combination boxing" should be well played to improve the foresight, pertinence and effectiveness of macro-control. The formulation of "extraordinary countercyclical adjustment" has aroused widespread concern in the market. The experts interviewed generally believe that the meeting of the Politburo is the general policy of economic work in the future. A series of statements at the meeting exceeded expectations, and larger fiscal and financial policies and industrial cultivation policies, and more extensive measures to promote people's livelihood and consumption are expected to be introduced, and various departments and localities will also let go of their hands and feet at the implementation level.In addition to the front page content, today's People's Daily's main financial contents include: 1. The special promotion activity of "Investing in China" in the Middle East was held in the United Arab Emirates; 2. Promote China's economic ships to ride the wind and waves to achieve stability (talk about implementation)-comrades attending the meeting talk about implementing the spirit of the Central Economic Work Conference; 3. On the 10th anniversary of the comprehensive water supply, the first phase of the East Central Line Project has transferred more than 76.7 billion cubic meters of water to the northern region, solidly promoting the South-to-North Water Transfer Project to exert greater benefits (authoritative release); 4. Overcome the problem of traveling on the thin soft soil seabed, and the domestic underwater cable laying robot can complete the launching test with an operating speed of kilometers per hour; 5. Ensure that artificial intelligence is always a "friend" (live comment); 6, more and better use of clean energy (micro); 7. The tenth batch of 62 kinds of drugs were successfully purchased by the state, and the products selected in this centralized purchase will be used in April next year; 8. The competitiveness index of China's overall agricultural scientific papers ranks first in the world; 9. The personal pension system will be implemented nationwide, and the number of accounts opened has exceeded 70 million, adding more stable income investment varieties. Experts advise investors to allocate products according to their own risk preferences, financial management knowledge and age; 10. In the first nine months of this year, tourism revenue increased by 8.6% year-on-year. Brazil accelerated the development of tourism and expected more tourists from China to visit; 11. Malaya Investment Bank-The economies of several ASEAN countries are expected to maintain growth next year.

At the end of new york on Thursday (December 12th), the main contract of CME Bitcoin futures BTC was reported at $100,000, down 1.90% from the end of new york on Wednesday. The main contract of CME ethereum futures DCR was reported at $3,888.50, up 0.52% from Wednesday.Blinken: Providing 500 million U.S. dollars in aid to Ukraine. U.S. Secretary of State Blinken said that he would provide Ukraine with a 500 million U.S. dollar aid package, which includes providing "Haima" ammunition and unmanned aerial vehicle systems.Goldman Sachs: Given that the moderate oversupply of 400,000 barrels per day and the current normalization of low valuation almost offset each other, the basic expectation is that the average price of Brent crude oil in 2025 will be $76 per barrel.